Yes, it would likely hurt Spain's economy in the short term. Bilateral goods trade with the US totaled ~$48B in 2024 (US exports ~$28B, imports from Spain ~$20.5B), focused on pharma, machinery, autos, and energy. That's ~3% of Spain's ~$1.6T GDP, but key sectors would feel it hard. Spanish ETF already down 5.6% today on the news. EU trade dominates for Spain though, so not economy-ending.
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